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class="gt">></span> <span class="zw">正文</span> </div> <div class="content area"> <div class="article-box l"> <h3 class="article-title"> 国际油h暴涨会重挫中国汽车市场吗Q? </h3> <p class="article-info clearfix"> <span class="l time">2016/12/13 18:44:33</span> <span class="r tag"> <a class="layui-btn layui-btn-normal">我要询h</a> </span> </p> <article class="article-text"> <p>?| 来源·汽R之家 </p> <p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">~者按Q当每加满一a多二十几块钱Q甚臛_能更多时Q非常敏感的中国老百姓,׃得不考虑自己的钱袋子Q好不容易高兴一q的汽R厂商Q会不会因此而“蓝瘦,香菇”?若a价大q、快速地上扬Q将对中国汽车市Z生何U冲dQ?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-align:center;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;"><img src="http://www2.autoimg.cn/newsdfs/g6/M14/BF/F6/620x0_1_autohomecar__wKgHzVhMB6GAIfvNAExLhQ3EPFk471.jpg" style="border:0px;vertical-align:top;width:620px;height:413px;margin-top:10px;" /></p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">当中国汽车市在ؓ1.6L及以下小排量车购|税减半政策是否延箋Q亦或是降低优惠q度争讨Ӟ<strong>11?0日,国际xa输出l织Q欧佩克Q宣布,军_原Ҏ产量减少120万桶Qƈ原Ҏ产量限额定ؓ3250万桶。该减军_于2017q??日开始执行?/strong></p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">q一来自奥地利首都维也纳Ƨ佩克(OPECQ总部Q最l历l?时做出的决定,可能像蝴蝶煽动膀Q将在欧亚大陆的另一端,产生影响?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">不仅如此Q欧佩克q将?4个非Ƨ佩克油国召开会议Q意在扩大减产范围?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-align:center;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;"><img src="http://www2.autoimg.cn/newsdfs/g6/M03/BF/F9/620x0_1_autohomecar__wKgHzVhMB7WAOTrjAAtGvzMfVVY654.jpg" style="border:0px;vertical-align:top;width:620px;height:583px;margin-top:10px;" /></p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">受此事g影响Q国际a仯日应C涨幅度超q两位数。这意味着Q中国a价可能告别低?0元不降L“红U쀝,吹响向上反弹的号角?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">q对中国汽R市场Q汽车及相关上市公司Q会造成什么媄响?各大车企忙着扩充产能Q是否空Ƣ喜一场,q生风险?</p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;"><strong>首先Q对汽R市场持箋增长可能造成不利因素Q抑制汽车消贏V?/strong></p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">与过去高增长时期的内生性消费不同,如今新R销售市Z量已l达C较高水^Q进入低速增长和Z所说的“新常态”?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">另一斚wQ伴随越来越多城市遭遇堵车、停车难、限行限购等对用车不利因素愈加凸显,愈来愈多的h开始选择公共交通、以及互联网URQ甚x最q兴L׃n自行车。而a价上涨带来成本的增加Q或成为抑制汽车消费的重要因素?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-align:center;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;"><img src="http://www3.autoimg.cn/newsdfs/g6/M01/16/BC/620x0_1_autohomecar__wKgH3FhMB62AQgjOACpUOyHNdp4295.jpg" style="border:0px;vertical-align:top;width:620px;height:364px;margin-top:10px;" /></p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">按照《经参考报》报道,12?4日,国内油h两连涨成定局Q可能刷?016q最高涨q,届时Q私家R加满一a成本增加约21元。而明q_油h不排除减产后会l上行的可能Q不定的不利因素,成R市潜在风险?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">实际上,?016q中国汽车流通协会年会上Q近千名参加会议l销商集团负责h、主机厂高层和行业h士,对排量刺Ȁ政策退现出担忧Q有过6成h员认政策退出,2017qR市增速会低于5%Q所以ah升可能会雪上加霜?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-align:center;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;"><img src="http://www3.autoimg.cn/newsdfs/g6/M0E/16/BB/620x0_1_autohomecar__wKgH3FhMB6aAIENvABYkRIOPfDs314.jpg" style="border:0px;vertical-align:top;width:620px;height:477px;margin-top:10px;" /></p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;"><strong>其次Qah升可能媄响小排量刺激政策Qƈ扭{新能源仅靠政{推动的“尴”,节a的؜合动力汽车也可能获得更大I间?/strong></p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">最q有媒体报道Q有协会l织相关部门延箋排量R优惠政策Q以保汽R整体销量持l增ѝ不q,油h如果出现较大q度上升Q市只“看不见的手”,可能会自动调节,让消费者选择低a耗的节能汽RQ甚至也会让消费者去們֐于选择新能源汽车?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-align:center;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;"><img src="http://www3.autoimg.cn/newsdfs/g6/M0B/BF/F7/620x0_1_autohomecar__wKgHzVhMB6iAHfzQAB0rVlwJXEE533.jpg" style="border:0px;vertical-align:top;width:620px;height:408px;margin-top:10px;" /></p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">其实Q从十年?~4元每升,Cq前过8元每升,再降到现在每?元多Q从?3加两䏀,装满大部分R油箱Q到加满一a臛_需要三癑֤Q中国消费者虽然对h涨跌习以为常。但很多调查l果昄Qa价却成ؓl大多数消费者买车时Q最看重的三大因素之一Q尤其在三线以下城市Qa价通常与颜g样重要?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">所以,油h提升作ؓ一把双刃剑Q即可能抑制消费Q但也可以用l济手段改变消费者,选择节能环保的R辆或方式。“顶层设计”需要在其中做出抉择?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">另一斚wQ汽车KU认为,如果油h上扬较快刺激了消费者敏感的经Q随着国化成本逐渐降低Q在中国沉寂了接q十几年的؜合动力汽车市场可能迎来爆发?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">目前Q除了近q来丰田在中国推Zhg民的混合动力汽RQHEVQ,本田汽R2016q也已经引入了该技术?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-align:center;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;"><img src="http://www2.autoimg.cn/newsdfs/g10/M07/C2/6D/620x0_1_autohomecar__wKgH4FhMF6SAA08uAADyGZhFeGI556.jpg" style="border:0px;vertical-align:top;width:430px;height:286px;margin-top:10px;" /></p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">更ؓ值得注意的是Q中国品牌吉利汽车、长安汽车等Q联合科力远研发的؜合动力汽车,也将会在不久问世。今q“两会”,U力q董事长钟发q_N癑օ里a耗仅?.9L的吉利帝豪HEVQ从湖南到北京参会?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">汽RKU觉得,没有什么比油h飙升Q更能够刺激消费者去接受混合动力汽R了?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;"><strong><span style="color:black;">W三Q汽车厂商可能遭遇能过剩挑战,存在风险?/span></strong></p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">众所周知Q因?015q的刺激政策Q?016q中国乘用R新R市场销量增速,重回“大号”两位数增速,除了数企业自n出现问题Q销量下滑,l大多数车企都取得了过两成Q甚xq翻倍的增长?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-align:center;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;"><img src="http://www2.autoimg.cn/newsdfs/g15/M10/C2/5E/620x0_1_autohomecar__wKjByFhMGv-AUEx9ADVeEmZw1pc460.jpg" style="border:0px;vertical-align:top;width:620px;height:374px;margin-top:10px;" /></p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">例如Q去q销量近乎?增长”的德国大众汽RQ负增长的韩国现代v亚汽车,以及销量大q放~的特、通用{,今年都呈现增ѝ而去q高歌猛q的中国品牌Q如吉利汽R、广汽集团旗下传等Q今q的增幅过40%以上?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">然而,q让不少汽R企业“头脑发热”,盲目的再度踏上扩充能的道\。仿佛中国汽车市Z然能够无限扩充,谁都觉得自己不会是第一个倒下的。本田、现代、通用和大众都在中国已l或计划提升产能Q新一轮能扩张潮已经来袭?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-align:center;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;"><img src="http://www2.autoimg.cn/newsdfs/g6/M11/C0/17/620x0_1_autohomecar__wKgHzVhMHFGAbTiyAAGryR8Ncjw484.jpg" style="border:0px;vertical-align:top;width:570px;height:380px;margin-top:10px;" /></p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">例如Q日前本田在武汉新徏W三工厂Q其用于新工厂投资额Uؓ30亿元Q力?019q上半年投?015q秋Q因中国l济增长攄Q本田暂停了新工厂徏设计划,但其认ؓ最q?q逐渐具备可投资环境,转而决定实施大规模投资?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">中国汽R通协会和汽R专家提告,要合理地控制产能Q对汽R市场有正预期,切莫{到产能q剩Q导致大量库存危及经销商和汽R市场健康发展?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">正如前文所qͼ油h若快速、大q上涨,寚w分自信地扩车企Q会上一盆冷水?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-align:center;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;"><img src="http://www2.autoimg.cn/newsdfs/g6/M09/C4/14/620x0_1_autohomecar__wKjB0VhMB7OASzxZABa_QW1mvr0318.jpg" style="border:0px;vertical-align:top;width:620px;height:496px;margin-top:10px;" /></p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">然而,除了Ƨ亚大陆一端煽动原油减产的膀Q太qx彼岸的美国侯LȝҎ普之前也透露q,可能会加大美国原油量,那么Q这两个正在振动的翅膀所掀L啸Q能够对冲吗Q?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">汽RKU犹记得Q此前中国汽车市场曾l历严峻局面。新车市场在世界l济危机后出现需求下滑,?009?010q得到小型R减税和ah跌的支撑Q增加了需求和销售,但由于a价回升较高水q_政策退出的反向作用Q?011?012qR市再ơ陷入停滞?/p><p style="padding:0px;line-height:28px;word-break:normal;word-wrap:break-word;color:#333333;font-family:宋体, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-indent:2em;background-color:#ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">不过Q彼时中国经保持较高速增长,l汽车市场提供了支撑Q但如今宏观l济低迷Q中国R市缺乏这U力量。汽车公总需要未雨绸~?/p> </article> <!-- Baidu Button BEGIN --> <div id="bdshare" class="bdshare_t bds_tools get-codes-bdshare"> <span class="bds_more">分n刎ͼ</span> <a class="bds_qzone"></a> <a class="bds_tsina"></a> <a class="bds_tqq"></a> <a class="bds_renren"></a> <a class="bds_t163"></a> <a class="shareCount"></a> </div> <script type="text/javascript" id="bdshare_js" data="type=tools&uid=0" ></script> <script type="text/javascript" id="bdshell_js"></script> <script type="text/javascript"> document.getElementById("bdshell_js").src = "http://bdimg.share.baidu.com/static/js/shell_v2.js?cdnversion=" + Math.ceil(new Date()/3600000) </script> <!-- Baidu Button END --> </div> <div class="aside r"> <div class="aside-item mt10"> <h3 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